Keir Starmer is back from his trip to the Far East, where he successfully secured concessions from Chinese President Xi Jinping. Despite interference from Donald Trump, the Beijing visit went smoothly. Now, the focus shifts to the upcoming by-election in Greater Manchester following Andrew Gwynne’s resignation.
On February 26, voters in the traditionally Labour stronghold of Gorton and Denton will elect their new MP. The decision to block Andy Burnham’s return to Westminster has stirred concerns among MPs, with some fearing potential repercussions if the seat is lost.
While some are doubtful, there is optimism within the Labour party that they can win the by-election. Labour MP Karl Turner, critical of the government’s policies, remains hopeful but acknowledges the pressure on the party leader if they fail to secure the seat.
Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice sees the by-election as a close contest involving Labour, Reform, the Greens, and the Workers’ Party. The outcome remains uncertain due to various factors at play.
Luke Tryl, another polling expert, views the by-election as a three-way race between Labour, Reform UK, and the Greens, all influenced by the presence of Nigel Farage. Tactical voting could determine the winner, with voters deliberating on which party can best challenge Reform.
The upcoming election presents a dilemma for voters, with many unsure about the strategic choice to prevent Reform from winning. Tactical voting could play a crucial role in shaping the outcome of the by-election.